Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

In analyzing the second serve performance over the past six months, Arnaldi has demonstrated a slightly better rate, winning 48.44% of points on his second serve compared to Tiafoe's 44.44%. This particular stat is significant as it often correlates strongly with match prediction outcomes. When examining return game statistics, Tiafoe outperforms Arnaldi by winning 45.92% of his opponent's second serve points, whereas Arnaldi captures 43.13%. The return on first serves shows Tiafoe slightly lagging at 25.54% against Arnaldi's 26.63%, a metric critical for contests between these competitors.

In terms of performance under pressure, Tiafoe has a superior breakpoint-saving ability, successfully defending 60.66% compared to Arnaldi's 54.17%. This could be important for in-game betting predictions. A comprehensive performance overview over the last year reveals Tiafoe winning 56.45% of matches played (35 wins and 27 losses), whereas Arnaldi has a 52% win rate (26 wins and 24 losses). Analyzing their playing surfaces reveals both players excel on clay, with Tiafoe and Arnaldi having career win percentages of 63% and 66% respectively. However, their performance declines sharply on indoor hard courts, with Tiafoe at 52% and Arnaldi at 38%.

Examining their playing levels, Tiafoe has mainly competed on the Main tour over the past year, securing victory in 51.85% of matches. In contrast, Arnaldi has participated primarily in the Masters series, winning 60% of encounters. The relative level of competition each player faces is essential when predicting the favorite. In past head-to-head face-offs, Tiafoe has emerged victorious in their sole encounter, which included one tie-break won by Arnaldi. Tiafoe's track record includes winning three out of five sets played against Arnaldi, highlighting a trend favorable for him in deciding sets given his 50% success rate over the last 12 months compared to Arnaldi’s 45%.

When considering average opponent ranking metrics, Tiafoe has squarely faced players with a ranking of 65.77 while Arnaldi's average opponent ranking stands at 65.2. Nonetheless, the subtle difference suggests nearly identical opposition caliber. In present form, Tiafoe has been more effective in converting break points with a rate of 34.65%, better than Arnaldi's 28%. This aspect is particularly informative for live betting during match play.

The balance of performance statistics, historical interactions, and the strength seen on prevalent surfaces, particularly clay, positions Tiafoe as a likely winner when these factors amalgamate into an informed prediction for the upcoming match. If current form continues, Tiafoe’s ability to convert points under pressure and his superior record in head-to-head matches suggest he is favored to win the upcoming contest against Arnaldi.